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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM Revenue Multiple | 0.9x - 1.0x | 0.9x |
| Selected Fwd Revenue Multiple | 0.4x - 0.5x | 0.4x |
| Fair Value | €3.45 - €3.70 | €3.58 |
| Upside | 30.8% - 40.1% | 35.4% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
|---|---|---|
| RocTool S.A. | ALROC | ENXTPA:ALROC |
| Agripower France Société Anonyme | ALAGP | ENXTPA:ALAGP |
| Alstom SA | ALO | ENXTPA:ALO |
| Haulotte Group SA | PIG | ENXTPA:PIG |
| Balyo SA | BALYO | ENXTPA:BALYO |
| UV Germi SA | ALUVI | ENXTPA:ALUVI |
| Select LTM Revenue Multiple | ||||||||
| Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
| ALROC | ALAGP | ALO | PIG | BALYO | ALUVI | |||
| ENXTPA:ALROC | ENXTPA:ALAGP | ENXTPA:ALO | ENXTPA:PIG | ENXTPA:BALYO | ENXTPA:ALUVI | |||
| Historical Revenue Growth | ||||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 4.5% | -28.0% | 16.9% | 1.0% | 7.3% | 9.3% | ||
| 3Y CAGR | 11.9% | -45.0% | 26.1% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 6.7% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | -30.6% | -77.2% | 6.2% | -15.7% | 9.2% | 11.0% | ||
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | ||||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | -18.0% | -41.6% | 3.2% | 3.1% | -32.8% | 0.8% | ||
| Prior Fiscal Year | -1.1% | -37.9% | 1.6% | 3.5% | -30.0% | 0.2% | ||
| Latest Fiscal Year | -7.9% | -334.1% | 2.6% | 7.2% | -36.9% | 3.5% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | -39.4% | -334.1% | 3.0% | 7.2% | -36.9% | 2.8% | ||
| Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 0.47x | 0.77x | 0.59x | 0.50x | 2.83x | 0.57x | ||
| EV / LTM EBIT | -1.2x | -0.2x | 19.6x | 6.9x | -7.7x | 20.1x | ||
| Price / LTM Sales | 0.38x | 2.67x | 0.54x | 0.13x | 2.14x | 0.98x | ||
| Low | Mid | High | ||||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM Revenue | 0.47x | 0.59x | 2.83x | |||||
| Historical EV / LTM Revenue | 0.97x | 1.28x | 2.72x | |||||
| Selected EV / LTM Revenue | 0.90x | 0.94x | 0.99x | |||||
| (x) LTM Revenue | 9 | 9 | 9 | |||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 8 | 8 | 9 | |||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 4 | 4 | 4 | |||||
| (=) Equity Value | 11 | 12 | 12 | |||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 3.2 | 3.2 | 3.2 | |||||
| Implied Value Range | 3.53 | 3.66 | 3.78 | |||||
| FX Rate: EUR/EUR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 3.53 | 3.66 | 3.78 | 2.64 | ||||
| Upside / (Downside) | 33.7% | 38.5% | 43.3% | |||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | ALROC | ALAGP | ALO | PIG | BALYO | ALUVI | |
| Enterprise Value | 3 | 1 | 10,561 | 318 | 62 | 5 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 1 | 6 | 1,789 | 35 | 0 | 4 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 0 | 0 | 942 | 5 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Debt | (2) | (3) | (3,560) | (273) | 0 | (0) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 0 | (110) | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 3 | 4 | 9,622 | 85 | 62 | 8 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 6.8 | 3.6 | 461.5 | 29.5 | 167.1 | 3.2 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 0.40 | 1.04 | 20.85 | 2.88 | 0.37 | 2.64 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 0.40 | 1.04 | 20.85 | 2.88 | 0.37 | 2.64 | |
| Trading Currency | EUR | EUR | EUR | EUR | EUR | EUR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |