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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM Revenue Multiple | 1.1x - 1.2x | 1.1x |
| Selected Fwd Revenue Multiple | 1.0x - 1.1x | 1.1x |
| Fair Value | €54.78 - €60.78 | €57.78 |
| Upside | -19.2% - -10.4% | -14.8% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
|---|---|---|
| Fujitec Co., Ltd. | FJC | DB:FJC |
| Wärtsilä Oyj Abp | WRT1V | HLSE:WRT1V |
| Raute Oyj | RAUTE | HLSE:RAUTE |
| KONE Oyj | KNEBV | HLSE:KNEBV |
| Valmet Oyj | VALMT | HLSE:VALMT |
| Konecranes Plc | KCR | HLSE:KCR |
| Select LTM Revenue Multiple | ||||||||
| Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
| FJC | WRT1V | RAUTE | KNEBV | VALMT | KCR | |||
| DB:FJC | HLSE:WRT1V | HLSE:RAUTE | HLSE:KNEBV | HLSE:VALMT | HLSE:KCR | |||
| Historical Revenue Growth | ||||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 6.1% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 2.1% | 8.6% | 4.9% | ||
| 3Y CAGR | 10.6% | 10.5% | 12.9% | 1.8% | 10.8% | 9.9% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 7.5% | 7.2% | 40.7% | 1.3% | -3.1% | 6.6% | ||
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | ||||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 6.9% | 5.6% | -1.2% | 11.7% | 9.1% | 8.1% | ||
| Prior Fiscal Year | 5.3% | 6.9% | 1.2% | 11.4% | 9.2% | 10.2% | ||
| Latest Fiscal Year | 6.3% | 10.5% | 6.7% | 11.7% | 9.6% | 12.3% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 7.3% | 10.5% | 6.7% | 11.7% | 9.6% | 12.3% | ||
| Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 1.74x | 1.49x | 0.23x | 2.36x | 1.13x | 1.39x | ||
| EV / LTM EBIT | 23.9x | 14.2x | 3.4x | 20.1x | 11.8x | 11.3x | ||
| Price / LTM Sales | 2.01x | 1.61x | 0.48x | 2.44x | 0.94x | 1.34x | ||
| Low | Mid | High | ||||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM Revenue | 0.23x | 1.49x | 2.36x | |||||
| Historical EV / LTM Revenue | 0.92x | 0.98x | 1.39x | |||||
| Selected EV / LTM Revenue | 1.06x | 1.12x | 1.17x | |||||
| (x) LTM Revenue | 4,227 | 4,227 | 4,227 | |||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 4,489 | 4,725 | 4,961 | |||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (179) | (179) | (179) | |||||
| (=) Equity Value | 4,310 | 4,546 | 4,782 | |||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 79.2 | 79.2 | 79.2 | |||||
| Implied Value Range | 54.41 | 57.39 | 60.38 | |||||
| FX Rate: EUR/EUR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 54.41 | 57.39 | 60.38 | 67.80 | ||||
| Upside / (Downside) | -19.7% | -15.3% | -10.9% | |||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | FJC | WRT1V | RAUTE | KNEBV | VALMT | KCR | |
| Enterprise Value | 411,227 | 9,492 | 46 | 25,786 | 5,841 | 5,549 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 75,131 | 1,554 | 58 | 1,798 | 512 | 710 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 10,862 | 58 | 0 | 150 | 29 | 7 | |
| (-) Debt | (5,496) | (766) | (6) | (846) | (1,544) | (896) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (15,136) | (6) | 0 | (26) | (7) | 0 | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 476,588 | 10,332 | 98 | 26,862 | 4,831 | 5,370 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 78.0 | 589.1 | 6.0 | 517.6 | 184.1 | 79.2 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 6,106.78 | 17.54 | 16.30 | 51.90 | 26.25 | 67.80 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 163.07 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 37.45 | 17.54 | 16.30 | 51.90 | 26.25 | 67.80 | |
| Trading Currency | EUR | EUR | EUR | EUR | EUR | EUR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 163.07 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |