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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM Revenue Multiple | 8.0x - 8.9x | 8.5x |
| Selected Fwd Revenue Multiple | 10.9x - 12.0x | 11.4x |
| Fair Value | $0 - $1.69 | $0.12 |
| Upside | -100.0% - 1,367.2% | 3.1% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
|---|---|---|
| Lucid Group, Inc. | LCID | NasdaqGS:LCID |
| Cenntro Inc. | CENN | NasdaqCM:CENN |
| LiveWire Group, Inc. | LVWR | NYSE:LVWR |
| Phoenix Motor Inc. | PEV | NasdaqCM:PEV |
| Envirotech Vehicles, Inc. | EVTV | NasdaqCM:EVTV |
| Mullen Automotive, Inc. | MULN | NasdaqCM:MULN |
| Select LTM Revenue Multiple | ||||||||
| Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
| LCID | CENN | LVWR | PEV | EVTV | MULN | |||
| NasdaqGS:LCID | NasdaqCM:CENN | NYSE:LVWR | NasdaqCM:PEV | NasdaqCM:EVTV | NasdaqCM:MULN | |||
| Historical Revenue Growth | ||||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 181.3% | NM- | 5.7% | NM- | NM- | NM- | ||
| 3Y CAGR | 210.0% | 59.3% | -9.4% | -11.5% | 218.3% | NM- | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 35.7% | 142.5% | -30.0% | 424.7% | -62.7% | 996.9% | ||
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | ||||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | -5627.5% | -291.9% | -280.0% | -292.2% | -292.2% | -74140.1% | ||
| Prior Fiscal Year | -516.6% | -573.8% | -305.0% | -303.7% | -149.9% | -80093.3% | ||
| Latest Fiscal Year | -371.4% | -225.8% | -397.0% | -497.7% | -266.0% | -24913.8% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | -371.4% | -113.9% | -397.0% | -106.3% | -424.9% | -6592.3% | ||
| Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 7.09x | 0.09x | 13.65x | 0.98x | 2.69x | 8.46x | ||
| EV / LTM EBIT | -1.9x | -0.1x | -3.4x | -0.9x | -0.6x | -0.1x | ||
| Price / LTM Sales | 8.71x | 0.71x | 16.04x | 0.67x | 2.38x | 0.03x | ||
| Low | Mid | High | ||||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM Revenue | 0.09x | 2.69x | 13.65x | |||||
| Historical EV / LTM Revenue | -84.13x | 77.56x | 239.25x | |||||
| Selected EV / LTM Revenue | 8.04x | 8.47x | 8.89x | |||||
| (x) LTM Revenue | 4 | 4 | 4 | |||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 32 | 34 | 36 | |||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (34) | (34) | (34) | |||||
| (=) Equity Value | 0 | 0 | 2 | |||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.1 | |||||
| Implied Value Range | 0.00 | 0.13 | 1.70 | |||||
| FX Rate: USD/USD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 0.00 | 0.13 | 1.70 | 0.12 | ||||
| Upside / (Downside) | -100.0% | 12.5% | 1377.0% | |||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | LCID | CENN | LVWR | PEV | EVTV | MULN | |
| Enterprise Value | 5,729 | 3 | 364 | 26 | 5 | 34 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 4,031 | 22 | 64 | 0 | 1 | 2 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 1,050 | 30 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Debt | (2,477) | (29) | (1) | (8) | (1) | (27) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | (0) | 0 | 0 | 0 | (9) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | (1,300) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | (0) | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 7,033 | 26 | 427 | 17 | 4 | 0 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 3,031.5 | 30.9 | 203.5 | 45.7 | 16.8 | 1.1 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 2.32 | 0.85 | 2.10 | 0.38 | 0.25 | 0.12 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 2.32 | 0.85 | 2.10 | 0.38 | 0.25 | 0.12 | |
| Trading Currency | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |