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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | 40.0x - 44.2x | 42.1x |
| Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | 22.8x - 25.2x | 24.0x |
| Fair Value | $20.79 - $22.95 | $21.87 |
| Upside | -34.4% - -27.6% | -31.0% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| V2X, Inc. | VVX | NYSE:VVX |
| Triumph Group, Inc. | TGI | NYSE:TGI |
| CPI Aerostructures, Inc. | CVU | NYSEAM:CVU |
| VirTra, Inc. | VTSI | NasdaqCM:VTSI |
| Moog Inc. | MOG.A | NYSE:MOG.A |
| Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. | KTOS | NasdaqGS:KTOS |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| VVX | TGI | CVU | VTSI | MOG.A | KTOS | ||
| NYSE:VVX | NYSE:TGI | NYSEAM:CVU | NasdaqCM:VTSI | NYSE:MOG.A | NasdaqGS:KTOS | ||
| Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 36.5% | -12.9% | NM- | 46.6% | 6.0% | 2.5% | |
| 3Y CAGR | 51.0% | -16.7% | NM- | 76.6% | 12.7% | 9.7% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 14.1% | 41.7% | 19.1% | -30.3% | 16.4% | 11.6% | |
| Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 5.0% | 13.0% | 3.2% | 14.2% | 11.7% | 6.4% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 6.0% | 13.2% | 6.7% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 6.3% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 6.3% | 12.2% | 7.8% | 27.8% | 13.0% | 6.4% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 6.3% | 14.5% | 8.0% | 21.8% | 13.1% | 6.4% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 0.57x | 2.26x | 0.82x | 1.48x | 1.83x | 4.09x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 9.1x | 15.5x | 10.2x | 6.8x | 13.9x | 63.5x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 15.5x | 18.6x | 10.9x | 8.0x | 17.4x | 141.3x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | 6.8x | 10.2x | 15.5x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | 39.9x | 51.9x | 63.5x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | 40.0x | 42.1x | 44.2x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBITDA | 73 | 73 | 73 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 2,930 | 3,084 | 3,238 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 37 | 37 | 37 | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 2,967 | 3,121 | 3,275 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 152.8 | 152.8 | 152.8 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 19.41 | 20.42 | 21.43 | ||||
| FX Rate: USD/USD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 19.41 | 20.42 | 21.43 | 31.70 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -38.8% | -35.6% | -32.4% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | VVX | TGI | CVU | VTSI | MOG.A | KTOS | |
| Enterprise Value | 2,505 | 2,806 | 67 | 47 | 6,748 | 4,808 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 265 | 133 | 2 | 20 | 73 | 329 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Debt | (1,153) | (970) | (22) | (8) | (1,286) | (292) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 1,629 | 1,969 | 47 | 59 | 5,535 | 4,845 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 31.6 | 77.4 | 13.0 | 11.3 | 31.6 | 152.8 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 51.59 | 25.44 | 3.62 | 5.22 | 175.17 | 31.70 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 51.59 | 25.44 | 3.62 | 5.22 | 175.17 | 31.70 | |
| Trading Currency | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |