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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM Revenue Multiple | 1.6x - 1.8x | 1.7x |
| Selected Fwd Revenue Multiple | 0.5x - 0.6x | 0.5x |
| Fair Value | ₹547.88 - ₹734.54 | ₹641.21 |
| Upside | 43.4% - 92.3% | 67.9% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
|---|---|---|
| Allcargo Terminals Limited | ATL | NSEI:ATL |
| VMS Industries Limited | 533427 | BSE:533427 |
| Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited | ADANIPORTS | NSEI:ADANIPORTS |
| JSW Infrastructure Limited | JSWINFRA | NSEI:JSWINFRA |
| Navkar Corporation Limited | NAVKARCORP | NSEI:NAVKARCORP |
| JITF Infralogistics Limited | JITFINFRA | NSEI:JITFINFRA |
| Select LTM Revenue Multiple | ||||||||
| Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
| ATL | 533427 | ADANIPORTS | JSWINFRA | NAVKARCORP | JITFINFRA | |||
| NSEI:ATL | BSE:533427 | NSEI:ADANIPORTS | NSEI:JSWINFRA | NSEI:NAVKARCORP | NSEI:JITFINFRA | |||
| Historical Revenue Growth | ||||||||
| 5Y CAGR | NM- | -2.9% | 19.6% | 28.0% | -1.8% | 41.3% | ||
| 3Y CAGR | NM- | 20.2% | 28.6% | 32.7% | -13.2% | 52.3% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 2.6% | 62.5% | 12.8% | 19.7% | 19.9% | -5.4% | ||
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | ||||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 9.4% | 1.0% | 45.8% | 37.0% | 12.2% | 10.1% | ||
| Prior Fiscal Year | 13.1% | 0.6% | 45.4% | 39.0% | 13.6% | 13.0% | ||
| Latest Fiscal Year | 9.2% | 2.2% | 45.0% | 41.0% | 5.9% | 12.1% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 9.5% | 0.4% | 46.2% | 39.1% | -0.1% | 12.3% | ||
| Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 1.14x | 0.15x | 10.41x | 15.39x | 3.49x | 1.43x | ||
| EV / LTM EBIT | 12.0x | 41.6x | 22.5x | 39.4x | -2585.1x | 11.6x | ||
| Price / LTM Sales | 0.73x | 0.18x | 8.85x | 15.27x | 3.08x | 0.34x | ||
| Low | Mid | High | ||||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM Revenue | 0.15x | 3.49x | 15.39x | |||||
| Historical EV / LTM Revenue | 1.62x | 2.32x | 2.87x | |||||
| Selected EV / LTM Revenue | 1.63x | 1.71x | 1.80x | |||||
| (x) LTM Revenue | 28,787 | 28,787 | 28,787 | |||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 46,798 | 49,261 | 51,724 | |||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (31,497) | (31,497) | (31,497) | |||||
| (=) Equity Value | 15,301 | 17,764 | 20,227 | |||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 25.7 | 25.7 | 25.7 | |||||
| Implied Value Range | 595.28 | 691.11 | 786.93 | |||||
| FX Rate: INR/INR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 595.28 | 691.11 | 786.93 | 382.00 | ||||
| Upside / (Downside) | 55.8% | 80.9% | 106.0% | |||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | ATL | 533427 | ADANIPORTS | JSWINFRA | NAVKARCORP | JITFINFRA | |
| Enterprise Value | 8,468 | 478 | 2,986,785 | 659,459 | 17,612 | 41,315 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 1,045 | 326 | 73,401 | 44,403 | 21 | 3,331 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Debt | (4,019) | (207) | (504,850) | (47,789) | (2,116) | (34,828) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 5,494 | 597 | 2,555,336 | 656,073 | 15,517 | 9,819 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 245.7 | 24.5 | 2,160.1 | 2,051.5 | 150.5 | 25.7 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 22.36 | 24.41 | 1,182.95 | 319.80 | 103.09 | 382.00 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 22.36 | 24.41 | 1,182.95 | 319.80 | 103.09 | 382.00 | |
| Trading Currency | INR | INR | INR | INR | INR | INR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |