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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM Ps Multiple | 0.3x - 0.4x | 0.4x |
| Selected Fwd Ps Multiple | 0.3x - 0.3x | 0.3x |
| Fair Value | $0.61 - $0.67 | $0.64 |
| Upside | 43.4% - 58.5% | 51.0% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
|---|---|---|
| Shandong Chenming Paper Holdings Limited | 181,200.0% | SEHK:1812 |
| Clearwater Paper Corporation | - | NYSE:CLW |
| Lee & Man Paper Manufacturing Limited | 231,400.0% | SEHK:2314 |
| Yibin Paper Industry Co., Ltd. | 60,079,300.0% | SHSE:600793 |
| China Health Technology Group Holding Company Limited | 106,900.0% | SEHK:1069 |
| Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings) Limited | - | OTCPK:NDGP.F |
| Select Price / LTM Sales Ratio | ||||||||
| Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
| 1812 | CLW | 2314 | 600793 | 1069 | NDGP.F | |||
| SEHK:1812 | NYSE:CLW | SEHK:2314 | SHSE:600793 | SEHK:1069 | OTCPK:NDGP.F | |||
| Historical Sales Growth | ||||||||
| 5Y CAGR | -1.6% | -4.7% | -0.9% | 5.3% | -0.1% | 1.7% | ||
| 3Y CAGR | -4.7% | -7.9% | -7.2% | -3.6% | NM- | -1.1% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 1.3% | 21.8% | 4.2% | -15.1% | 9.1% | 11.0% | ||
| Historical Net Income Profit Margin | ||||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 2.4% | 3.1% | 8.2% | -2.4% | -184.4% | 4.3% | ||
| Prior Fiscal Year | 0.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 1.3% | -18.4% | -4.2% | ||
| Latest Fiscal Year | -5.2% | -5.3% | 5.1% | -4.7% | 420.1% | 1.3% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | -4.9% | -5.3% | 5.1% | -9.9% | 6.0% | 1.5% | ||
| Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 12.6x | 10.9x | 23.4x | 78.8x | -6.6x | 11.6x | ||
| Price / LTM Sales | 0.1x | 0.3x | 0.4x | 1.9x | 0.6x | 0.2x | ||
| LTM P/E Ratio | -2.9x | -5.7x | 7.4x | -19.5x | 9.4x | 15.9x | ||
| Low | Mid | High | ||||||
| Benchmark LTM P/S Ratio | 0.1x | 0.4x | 1.9x | |||||
| Historical LTM P/S Ratio | 0.2x | 0.4x | 0.7x | |||||
| Selected Price / Sales Multiple | 0.3x | 0.4x | 0.4x | |||||
| (x) LTM Sales | 62,350 | 62,350 | 62,350 | |||||
| (=) Equity Value | 21,192 | 22,308 | 23,423 | |||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 4,692.2 | 4,692.2 | 4,692.2 | |||||
| Implied Value Range | 4.52 | 4.75 | 4.99 | |||||
| FX Rate: CNY/USD | 7.3 | 7.3 | 7.3 | Market Price | ||||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 0.62 | 0.65 | 0.69 | 0.42 | ||||
| Upside / (Downside) | 46.6% | 54.4% | 62.1% | |||||
| Equity Value | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | 1812 | CLW | 2314 | 600793 | 1069 | NDGP.F | |
| Value of Common Equity | 2,698 | 419 | 9,707 | 2,876 | 40 | 14,452 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 4,657.5 | 16.2 | 4,295.0 | 176.9 | 859.2 | 4,692.2 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 0.58 | 25.91 | 2.26 | 16.26 | 0.05 | 3.08 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 0.93 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.93 | 7.26 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 0.62 | 25.91 | 2.26 | 16.26 | 0.05 | 0.42 | |
| Trading Currency | HKD | USD | HKD | CNY | HKD | USD | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 0.93 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.93 | 7.26 | |