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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM Pb Multiple | 1.1x - 1.2x | 1.1x |
| Historical Pb Multiple | 1.0x - 1.5x | 1.0x |
| Fair Value | ¥4.56 - ¥5.03 | ¥4.79 |
| Upside | 12.2% - 24.0% | 18.1% |
| Benchmarks | - | Full Ticker |
| Guangshen Railway Company Limited | 60,133,300.0% | SHSE:601333 |
| Sichuan Fulin Transportation Group Co., Ltd. | 235,700.0% | SZSE:002357 |
| Daqin Railway Co., Ltd. | 60,100,600.0% | SHSE:601006 |
| Hubei Three Gorges Tourism Group Co., Ltd. | 262,700.0% | SZSE:002627 |
| China Railway Tielong Container Logistics Co., Ltd | 60,012,500.0% | SHSE:600125 |
| China Railway Special Cargo Logistics Co., Ltd. | 121,300.0% | SZSE:001213 |
| Select Price / Book Ratio | ||||||||
| Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
| 601333 | 2357 | 601006 | 2627 | 600125 | 1213 | |||
| SHSE:601333 | SZSE:002357 | SHSE:601006 | SZSE:002627 | SHSE:600125 | SZSE:001213 | |||
| Historical Net Income Growth | ||||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 6.2% | 32.0% | -3.9% | 5.7% | -1.5% | 9.3% | ||
| 3Y CAGR | NM- | 24.7% | 3.5% | 39.0% | 5.5% | 21.1% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 6743.2% | -45.1% | -18.1% | 34.2% | 1.9% | 17.4% | ||
| Historical Net Income Profit Margin | ||||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | -1.9% | 11.9% | 17.0% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 5.1% | ||
| Prior Fiscal Year | -10.0% | 8.1% | 14.8% | 0.2% | 2.8% | 4.4% | ||
| Latest Fiscal Year | 4.0% | 17.4% | 14.7% | 8.1% | 3.2% | 5.9% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 4.6% | 9.5% | 12.5% | 15.7% | 2.9% | 5.6% | ||
| Return on Equity | ||||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | -1.1% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 3.0% | 6.3% | 2.6% | ||
| Prior Fiscal Year | -4.5% | 4.5% | 8.9% | 0.1% | 5.2% | 2.3% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 3.2% | ||
| Next Fiscal Year | 4.0% | 20.1% | 7.6% | 3.4% | 7.1% | 3.7% | ||
| Two Fiscal Years Forward | 2.1% | 22.3% | 7.9% | 3.4% | 7.8% | 3.7% | ||
| Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
| Price / LTM Sales | 0.7x | 2.7x | 1.8x | 4.2x | 0.5x | 1.7x | ||
| Price / LTM EPS | 18.1x | 28.7x | 14.0x | 26.6x | 18.3x | 29.5x | ||
| Price / Book | 0.7x | 1.5x | 0.9x | 1.2x | 1.0x | 1.0x | ||
| Price / Fwd Book | 0.8x | 1.3x | 0.9x | 1.2x | 1.0x | 0.9x | ||
| Low | Mid | High | ||||||
| Benchmark P/B Ratio | 0.7x | 1.0x | 1.5x | |||||
| Historical P/B Ratio | 1.0x | 1.0x | 1.5x | |||||
| Selected P/B Multiple | 1.1x | 1.1x | 1.2x | |||||
| (x) Book Value | 18,966 | 18,966 | 18,966 | |||||
| Equity Value | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | 601333 | 2357 | 601006 | 2627 | 600125 | 1213 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 20,896 | 2,348 | 132,165 | 3,649 | 7,494 | 18,044 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 7,083.5 | 313.5 | 20,147.2 | 699.0 | 1,305.5 | 4,444.4 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 2.95 | 7.49 | 6.56 | 5.22 | 5.74 | 4.06 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 2.95 | 7.49 | 6.56 | 5.22 | 5.74 | 4.06 | |
| Trading Currency | CNY | CNY | CNY | CNY | CNY | CNY | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |