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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM Ps Multiple | 2.3x - 2.6x | 2.5x |
Selected Fwd Ps Multiple | 1.8x - 2.0x | 1.9x |
Fair Value | ¥11.28 - ¥12.47 | ¥11.87 |
Upside | -31.5% - -24.3% | -27.9% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
---|---|---|
Weichai Power Co., Ltd. | 33,800.0% | SZSE:000338 |
CRRC Corporation Limited | 60,176,600.0% | SHSE:601766 |
Zhejiang Langdi Group Co., Ltd. | 60,372,600.0% | SHSE:603726 |
Square Technology Group Co.,Ltd | 60,333,900.0% | SHSE:603339 |
Jiangsu Rainbow Heavy Industries Co., Ltd. | 248,300.0% | SZSE:002483 |
CIMC Safeway Technologies Co., Ltd. | 30,155,900.0% | SZSE:301559 |
Select Price / LTM Sales Ratio | ||||||||
Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
338 | 601766 | 603726 | 603339 | 2483 | 301559 | |||
SZSE:000338 | SHSE:601766 | SHSE:603726 | SHSE:603339 | SZSE:002483 | SZSE:301559 | |||
Historical Sales Growth | ||||||||
5Y CAGR | 6.1% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 12.6% | 29.7% | -0.4% | ||
3Y CAGR | 2.7% | 1.0% | 5.2% | 26.4% | 25.7% | 18.0% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.5% | -6.2% | 2.0% | -38.8% | ||
Historical Net Income Profit Margin | ||||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 12.4% | 5.5% | 10.4% | ||
Prior Fiscal Year | 2.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 15.1% | 1.0% | 12.8% | ||
Latest Fiscal Year | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 15.0% | 0.8% | 12.8% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | 5.1% | 5.3% | 8.7% | 13.3% | 1.3% | 9.1% | ||
Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
EV / LTM EBITDA | 5.5x | 8.1x | 12.9x | 8.8x | 5.1x | 31.4x | ||
Price / LTM Sales | 0.6x | 0.8x | 1.7x | 2.0x | 0.9x | 3.5x | ||
LTM P/E Ratio | 12.7x | 15.5x | 19.7x | 14.8x | 74.5x | 38.4x | ||
Low | Mid | High | ||||||
Benchmark LTM P/S Ratio | 0.6x | 0.9x | 2.0x | |||||
Historical LTM P/S Ratio | 0.0x | 1.2x | 2.4x | |||||
Selected Price / Sales Multiple | 2.3x | 2.5x | 2.6x | |||||
(x) LTM Sales | 3,181 | 3,181 | 3,181 | |||||
(=) Equity Value | 7,471 | 7,864 | 8,257 | |||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 675.0 | 675.0 | 675.0 | |||||
Implied Value Range | 11.07 | 11.65 | 12.23 | |||||
FX Rate: CNY/CNY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 11.07 | 11.65 | 12.23 | 16.46 | ||||
Upside / (Downside) | -32.8% | -29.2% | -25.7% |
Equity Value | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | 338 | 601766 | 603726 | 603339 | 2483 | 301559 | |
Value of Common Equity | 140,475 | 209,789 | 3,066 | 4,000 | 6,923 | 11,111 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 8,639.3 | 28,698.9 | 183.8 | 305.1 | 886.5 | 675.0 | |
Implied Stock Price | 16.26 | 7.31 | 16.68 | 13.11 | 7.81 | 16.46 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 16.26 | 7.31 | 16.68 | 13.11 | 7.81 | 16.46 | |
Trading Currency | CNY | CNY | CNY | CNY | CNY | CNY | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |