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7841 6.6%7309 -2.4%6425 -2.3%

ウォッチ・リストヒント ProPicks AI 選別ツールデータの検索チャート保存した作業

フィールズ株式会社

TSE:2767

日本 / 一般消費財 / 娯楽用製品

金融モデル

10年DCF売上結果

株価

1,828.00 JPY

フェアバリュー

3,159.72 JPY

Metrics	Range	Conclusion
Discount Rate	9.5% - 8.5%	9.0%
Terminal Revenue Multiple	0.7x - 0.8x	0.7x
Fair Value	¥3,048 - ¥3,278	¥3,160
Upside	66.7% - 79.3%	72.9%

1.1%

Revenue 10y CAGR

15.0%

10y Avg EBITDA Margin

9.7%

Unlevered FCF 10y CAGR

10-Year DCF Model: Revenue Exit

株価

1,828.00 JPY

フェアバリュー

3,159.72 JPY

上昇余地

72.9%

Revenue and EBITDA

CapEx

Working Capital

D&A

Tax Rate

Discount Rate

Terminal Value


Select Revenue and EBITDA Forecast

(JPY in millions)		Input Projections
Fiscal Years Ending	Mar-24	Mar-25	Mar-26	Mar-27	Mar-28	Mar-29	Mar-30	Mar-31	Mar-32	Mar-33	Mar-34

Revenue	141,923	138,300	157,650	164,350	156,200	158,700	158,700	158,700	158,700	158,700	158,700
% Growth	21.2%	-2.6%	14.0%	4.2%	-5.0%	1.6%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

EBITDA	13,742	16,000	19,300	21,800	24,650	25,650	25,650	25,650	25,650	25,650	25,650
% of Revenue	9.7%	11.6%	12.2%	13.3%	15.8%	16.2%	16.2%	16.2%	16.2%	16.2%	16.2%

裏付けの計算

Calculation of Free Cash Flow

Discounting Periods

Discounting Factors

Calculation of Enterprise Value

Equity Waterfall

Historical Financials

Current Trading Multiples


Calculation of Free Cash Flow

Projected Unlevered Cash Flow
		Mar-25	Mar-26	Mar-27	Mar-28	Mar-29	Mar-30	Mar-31	Mar-32	Mar-33	Mar-34

EBITDA		16,000	19,300	21,800	24,650	25,650	25,650	25,650	25,650	25,650	25,650
Other Income / (Exp)		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
D&A		(700)	(1,400)	(1,500)	(1,250)	(1,250)	(1,250)	(1,250)	(1,250)	(1,250)	(1,250)

EBIT		15,300	17,900	20,300	23,400	24,400	24,400	24,400	24,400	24,400	24,400
Pro forma Taxes		(1,989)	(2,327)	(2,639)	(3,042)	(3,172)	(3,172)	(3,172)	(3,172)	(3,172)	(3,172)
NOPAT	10,269	13,311	15,573	17,661	20,358	21,228	21,228	21,228	21,228	21,228	21,228

Capital Expenditures	(1,528)	(1,800)	(1,525)	(1,525)	(1,800)	(1,800)	(1,708)	(1,708)	(1,708)	(1,708)	(1,708)
NWC Investment	(2,428)	355	(1,894)	(656)	798	(245)	0	0	0	0	0
(+) D&A	1,939	700	1,400	1,500	1,250	1,250	1,250	1,250	1,250	1,250	1,250

Free Cash Flow	8,252	12,566	13,554	16,980	20,606	20,433	20,770	20,770	20,770	20,770	20,770
% Growth			8%	25%	21%	-1%	2%	0%	0%	0%	0%

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