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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 8.1x - 9.0x | 8.6x |
| Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 8.5x - 9.4x | 8.9x |
| Fair Value | ¥3,331 - ¥3,607 | ¥3,469 |
| Upside | 0.5% - 8.8% | 4.6% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| AIT Corporation | 9381 | TSE:9381 |
| Sankyu Inc. | 9065 | TSE:9065 |
| PHYZ Holdings Inc. | 9325 | TSE:9325 |
| SG Holdings Co.,Ltd. | 9143 | TSE:9143 |
| Yamato Holdings Co., Ltd. | 9064 | TSE:9064 |
| Shibusawa Logistics Corporation | 9304 | TSE:9304 |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| 9381 | 9065 | 9325 | 9143 | 9064 | 9304 | ||
| TSE:9381 | TSE:9065 | TSE:9325 | TSE:9143 | TSE:9064 | TSE:9304 | ||
| Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 22.9% | -2.1% | NM- | 4.9% | -7.2% | 2.7% | |
| 3Y CAGR | 23.4% | 1.2% | 30.3% | -4.3% | -24.2% | 5.6% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | -4.0% | 15.9% | 13.4% | -6.2% | -64.2% | 5.1% | |
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 6.4% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 8.0% | 3.5% | 6.0% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 7.6% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 9.4% | 3.3% | 6.2% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 8.4% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 2.3% | 5.8% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 7.6% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 0.9% | 6.0% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 0.47x | 0.53x | 0.25x | 0.68x | 0.35x | 0.49x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 5.3x | 5.2x | 4.7x | 7.3x | 9.8x | 5.0x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 6.2x | 7.7x | 5.2x | 10.4x | 39.0x | 8.1x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | 5.2x | 7.7x | 39.0x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBIT | 5.4x | 8.7x | 10.6x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 8.1x | 8.6x | 9.0x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBIT | 4,646 | 4,646 | 4,646 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 37,825 | 39,816 | 41,807 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 10,263 | 10,263 | 10,263 | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 48,088 | 50,079 | 52,070 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 14.4 | 14.4 | 14.4 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 3,340.87 | 3,479.18 | 3,617.49 | ||||
| FX Rate: JPY/JPY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 3,340.87 | 3,479.18 | 3,617.49 | 3,315.00 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | 0.8% | 5.0% | 9.1% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | 9381 | 9065 | 9325 | 9143 | 9064 | 9304 | |
| Enterprise Value | 25,343 | 316,354 | 7,567 | 982,385 | 614,618 | 37,453 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 12,519 | 54,469 | 3,801 | 131,294 | 204,538 | 12,422 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 2,824 | 67,309 | 958 | 59,636 | 54,135 | 28,769 | |
| (-) Debt | 0 | (106,013) | (1,972) | (213,398) | (207,493) | (29,991) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (371) | (3,612) | (92) | (4,512) | (8,789) | (937) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 40,315 | 328,507 | 10,262 | 955,405 | 657,009 | 47,716 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 23.5 | 52.7 | 10.7 | 625.5 | 329.4 | 14.4 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 1,716.00 | 6,232.00 | 956.00 | 1,527.50 | 1,994.50 | 3,315.00 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 1,716.00 | 6,232.00 | 956.00 | 1,527.50 | 1,994.50 | 3,315.00 | |
| Trading Currency | JPY | JPY | JPY | JPY | JPY | JPY | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |